Marry, Bury, Date – Week 1

lou.jpg

It’s fitting that in my first attempt to give expert advice,
I turn to a childhood game for inspiration. 
And not just any childhood game. 
Marry, Bury, Date is a staple of slumber parties and has resulted in
more giggling and bright red faces than a Lou Piniella tirade.  Since I’m sure my suggestions will be met
with both disparaging laughter and angry responses, the game seems apropos.

 

The premise of the game is simple.  Three names are thrown out and the
participants must pick which one they would Marry (ie commit to long-term),
Bury (get rid of forever), or Date (could be fun in the short-term).  When considering trade offers or waiver wire
pick-ups, fantasy players are faced with these same three decisions all the
time, so in an effort to help aid these choices, I’ll name one player who I
like for the rest of the season, one player who I think could help in the
short-term, and one guy I wouldn’t touch in this space each week.

jr high prom.jpg

 

After I’m done, if you want to whisper to the player that I
“like ’em, like ’em” that’s up to you. 
If you do, I look forward to the awkwardness that ensues all the way
through the Junior High Prom.  Maybe I’ll
get my courage up and ask them to dance during “Endless Love.” 

 

This week’s picks are below.

Marry

 

Jeff Francouer – Coming off an epically bad season where his
VORP (Value Over Replacement Player) was so low, it’s actually not a stretch to
say the Braves could have had a series of radio contest winners play right field
without their being a significant drop-off, Francouer went undrafted in a
majority of fantasy leagues.  One pitch
into this season though, he became one of the hottest pick-ups around and you
can count me among the buyers. 

angry mob.jpg

 

Here is what Francouer has going for him.  He’s only 25 yet still has two 100 RBI seasons
under his belt.  He had an excellent
spring, where he hit nearly .330 and took more walks then ever.  And he can’t get any worse than he was last
year (if he does, there is going to be a run on torches and pitchforks at
stores throughout Atlanta).  If you can
get him off the waiver wire or acquire him as a throw-in to a larger trade, you
can slot him into your 4th or 5th outfielder slot and
give your line-up significant upside at a low cost.  After he finishes the season with a
25/100/.280 line, you’ll find him on a lot of championship rosters.

 

Bury

 

Cliff Lee – It isn’t just that he got shelled in his first
start, it’s how bad he looked during it. 
The Rangers didn’t appear to be fooled or challenged by a single pitch
as they genuinely teed off on the reigning Cy Young winner.  Very few people expect Lee to replicate his
excellent 2008 season, and he won’t always be as bad as he was yesterday
(hopefully), but still.  His peripheral
numbers were so lucky last year, they demand a regression and when combining
this statistical certainty with what I saw watching yesterday, I’m completely
staying away from him, unless an impatient owner outright drops him and I can
pick him up for free.

 

Date

 

Emilio Bonifacio – The Marlins sparkplug really put on
a show yesterday against his former team, scoring 4 runs and stealing an
eye-popping 3 bases in what was basically a Jose Reyes impersonation.  If you need speed, it’s worth picking him up
right now, as early evidence indicates he has a bright green light in Miami.  He of course won’t keep up his torrid pace
from yesterday and he has no power, so beware of the trade-offs you’ll make,
but his electric show yesterday makes it worth taking a chance on him if you
have an otherwise dead roster spot.

emilio.jpg

 

One interesting strategy may be slotting him in for ARod if
he has 3B eligibility in your league. 
You can get a jump in stolen bases at the position and then upon his
return, let ARod’s power numbers balance out Bonifacio’s weakness over the
course of the season.  You can then move
Emilio to a speed-needy owner for an upgrade elsewhere.  Could be a heck of a return on a guy who is
free to pick up today (though he might not be free tomorrow, so if you are
going to act, act now.)

13 Comments

Washington better hope Olsen and Willingham put up good numbers, because I know a few Nationals fans who were really high on Bonifacio….and yesterday’s great start vs. his former team didn’t help. He might be marriage material later this summer!
-Mark
http://philliesperspective.mlblogs.com

Washington better hope Olsen and Willingham put up good numbers, because I know a few Nationals fans who were really high on Bonifacio….and yesterday’s great start vs. his former team didn’t help. He might be marriage material later this summer!
-Mark
http://philliesperspective.mlblogs.com

Of course, the variation on that is “(Bleep), Marry, Kill”…you know, to rate hot chicks and all…LMAO
After today, though, I may have to KILL the Nats for screwing up so horridly 2 games in. Now I need to check my MLB.com fantasy team and see how I’m doing…
Gary
Nasty Nats Live Here (and Everywhere)
http://go-nasty-nats.mlblogs.com
http://twitter.com/gonastynats

Of course, the variation on that is “(Bleep), Marry, Kill”…you know, to rate hot chicks and all…LMAO
After today, though, I may have to KILL the Nats for screwing up so horridly 2 games in. Now I need to check my MLB.com fantasy team and see how I’m doing…
Gary
Nasty Nats Live Here (and Everywhere)
http://go-nasty-nats.mlblogs.com
http://twitter.com/gonastynats

Of course, the variation on that is “(Bleep), Marry, Kill”…you know, to rate hot chicks and all…LMAO
After today, though, I may have to KILL the Nats for screwing up so horridly 2 games in. Now I need to check my MLB.com fantasy team and see how I’m doing…
Gary
Nasty Nats Live Here (and Everywhere)
http://go-nasty-nats.mlblogs.com
http://twitter.com/gonastynats

I like the analogy. My turn:
Marry: David Wright (obviously)
Bury: Pedro (good riddance)
Date: Sheffield. I hope he doesn’t get too violent in the bedroom lol!!

I may have taken this theme too far.

My version of the game only includes sleeper picks.

Marry: Pablo Sandoval
Bury: Dontrelle Willis
Date: Anthony Reyes

My version of the game only includes sleeper picks.

Marry: Pablo Sandoval
Bury: Dontrelle Willis
Date: Anthony Reyes

My version of the game only includes sleeper picks.

Marry: Pablo Sandoval
Bury: Dontrelle Willis
Date: Anthony Reyes

Jason
http://jmays.mlblogs.com

Still, isn’t it too early to bury Cliff Lee?
–Jeff
http://redstatebluestate.mlblogs.com/

Lee got completely shelled the other night – I think Toby’s onto something here. Lee’s ERA, K/9 and K/BB numbers were all significantly higher last year than his career numbers (K/BB was more than double his prior career mark). A flyball control guy does not reinvent himself as a sinkerballing strikeout pitcher at age 30. He’s not a bad pitcher, but not the fantasy stud he was last year.

On Francoeur, did you see that he literally had a negative VORP last year (as noted by the Sports Guy)? Am I demented to think that only increases his chance of a huge comeback season this year? In the interest of full disclosure, I drafted Andruw Jones in the late rounds last year on the same logic… and his VORP last year was even lower than Francoeur’s.

Lee got completely shelled the other night – I think Toby’s onto something here. Lee’s ERA, K/9 and K/BB numbers were all significantly higher last year than his career numbers (K/BB was more than double his prior career mark). A flyball control guy does not reinvent himself as a sinkerballing strikeout pitcher at age 30. He’s not a bad pitcher, but not the fantasy stud he was last year.

On Francoeur, did you see that he literally had a negative VORP last year (as noted by the Sports Guy)? Am I demented to think that only increases his chance of a huge comeback season this year? In the interest of full disclosure, I drafted Andruw Jones in the late rounds last year on the same logic… and his VORP last year was even lower than Francoeur’s.

Lee got completely shelled the other night – I think Toby’s onto something here. Lee’s ERA, K/9 and K/BB numbers were all significantly higher last year than his career numbers (K/BB was more than double his prior career mark). A flyball control guy does not reinvent himself as a sinkerballing strikeout pitcher at age 30. He’s not a bad pitcher, but not the fantasy stud he was last year.

On Francoeur, did you see that he literally had a negative VORP last year (as noted by the Sports Guy)? Am I demented to think that only increases his chance of a huge comeback season this year? In the interest of full disclosure, I drafted Andruw Jones in the late rounds last year on the same logic… and his VORP last year was even lower than Francoeur’s.

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