May 2009

Fantasy Baseball Expert Interview: Geoff Stein

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Welcome back to the newest installment in our series of interviews aimed at giving readers insight into the minds and backgrounds of those fantasy writers and pundits who have reached the level of "expert." It seems there has been an explosion in the number of people claiming the title in the last few years, but no one seems to know where they come from. These interviews aim to change all that, while also giving aspiring "experts" (such as myself) some advice on both how to break into the industry and ways to improve your fantasy skills.

 

Our guest this week is Geoff Stein, the operations manager for Mock Draft Central.

 

In your opinion, what makes you a fantasy expert? (basically the polite way of asking - why should people listen to you?)
 
I don't think people should listen to me.  I like to point things out and allow people to make their own choices/decisions.  I'm not a "do this"/"don't do that" type of writer;  instead I focus on producing an original, entertaining piece that makes people think/informs.


Expert League Update: Ya Heard?

This past weekend, I traveled to Arkansas for a wedding.  It was a great one.  You know how you go to a ballgame or stay out too late one night and when you wake up the next day you've lost your voice?  It almost always means you had a good time the day before.  Well I took that to the next level.  When I woke up on Monday, I had lost my hearing.  Couldn't hear out of my left ear.  Spent most of the recap lunch staring at my plate wishing the food would disappear without me actually having to eat it and pretending to follow the conversation around me.  Guess that means I had an awesome time on Sunday.

 

Because of the weekend events, I didn't follow my expert league match-up at all.  Even forgot to set my lineup for the weekend before I left on Friday.  You know what?  Didn't matter.  The results didn't change a bit.  I won 5-4-1, the exact same result that would have occurred had I scoured the wire for last second free agent fill-ins and stared at the scoreboard all weekend.

 

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Like many fantasy players, I can get caught up in the obsession and pay too much attention to every at-bat, pitch, and play.  It's too bad "time spent hoping" isn't a fantasy category, as I would clean up.  While I usually enjoy following my players extremely closely, it's still nice to see that you can step away for a few days without consequence.  Fantasy baseball isn't like the Hatch in "Lost."  You don't have to push the button every 108 minutes to prevent the end of the world, even though it often feels that way.

 

Someday I might forget to put a pitcher in and it will cost me a few categories.  But today I take comfort in knowing that even in an intense expert league, it's possible to step back for a few days without changing a thing.  Gives me time to focus on other matters.  Like getting my hearing back.

 

I'll be back tomorrow with an interview featuring Mock Draft Central's Geoff Stein.  Until then.

Mailbag: How To Regain Interest in a Lost Season

Dear Internet Man Who Lives in My Computer,
I have a question. This is the time in the fantasy baseball season when I have trouble staying motivated. I start going away on weekends to go to weddings or bachelor parties or the beach or, more likely, the office, and fantasy baseball isn't always the top item on my list of things to catch up on during the week. Plus, especially in my points league, the status quo seems to be sorting stuff out so I feel like I'm destined to finish in 4th to 7th place no matter what I do. Nobody good is available on waivers, at least anybody who will make a real difference in my performance, and I'm too lazy to trade with anybody but the guy who low-balls me four times a day. Any advice about how to keep my interest up and make a move?
Sincerely,
metsfankrod
PS - okay, maybe more like 6th to 9th place.

 

Hey, good to hear from you again Krod Mandoon.  How is your epic quest to ruin television going?  From what I hear, you are almost there.  Congrats.

 

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Losing interest as the season goes on is a common problem, though one not always caused by "my life is too awesome to care" syndrome, which you seem to possess.  If I was traveling every weekend to hang out with my friends or go to the beach, I'd probably lose interest too.  Sounds pretty nice.  Your office is probably on a boat.  Jerk.

 

If you are still fielding trade offers and checking the waiver wire, it sounds like you are not quite a lost cause yet, which is terrific.  There is nothing worse than being in a league where guys completely check out in May (Ok, maybe a couple things are worse - plague, famine, Coldplay).  I hope no matter how much you stop caring, you always log-in at least once a week for 30 seconds to set your lineup.  If you can't do that, you should give up fantasy baseball as a hobby because such behavior can ruin it for everyone.  Now please put your hands up everyone, the only way I exit my soap box is through crowd-surfing.

 

But since you seem to care a little about fantasy baseball (you are reading this blog after all), here are four suggestions on how to jumpstart your interest.

Marry, Bury, Date: Week 8

Welcome back to another week of Marry, Bury, Date -- the childhood game I've hijacked to provide the framework for my initial foray into providing expert fantasy baseball advice.

 

The premise of the game is simple.  Three names are thrown out and the participants must pick which one they would Marry (ie commit to long-term), Bury (get rid of forever), or Date (could be fun in the short-term).  When considering trade offers or waiver wire pick-ups, fantasy players are faced with these same three decisions all the time, so in an effort to help aid these choices, I'll name one player who I like for the rest of the season, one player who I think could help in the short-term, and one guy I wouldn't touch in this space each week.

 

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After I'm done, if you want to whisper to the player that I "like 'em, like 'em" that's up to you.  If you do, I look forward to the awkwardness that ensues all the way through the Junior High Prom.  Maybe I'll get my courage up and ask them to dance during Oasis's "Wonderwall."

 

This week's picks are below.


Fantasy Baseball Expert Interview: Todd Farino

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Welcome back to the newest installment in our series of interviews aimed at giving readers insight into the minds and backgrounds of those fantasy writers and pundits who have reached the level of "expert." It seems there has been an explosion in the number of people claiming the title in the last few years, but no one seems to know where they come from. These interviews aim to change all that, while also giving aspiring "experts" (such as myself) some advice on both how to break into the industry and ways to improve your fantasy skills.


Our guest this week is Todd Farino, the founder of Fantasy Baseball Search and the creator of our Expert League.

 

In your opinion, what makes you a fantasy expert? (basically the polite way of asking - why should people listen to you?)

 

I don't really like to call myself an expert.  I'll leave that to the readers.  I love to analyze baseball from a strategy POV.  I think the reason why I have success and hopefully why people should listen to me is I don't beat around the bush.  I tell it like it is.  Some analysts won't risk their reputation on tough calls, but I will.  I have a history of winning, playing tough competitors, and backing up everything I say.  If people want to take advantage of skills that I have built over the past 18+ years the more to them.  I still feel I have alot of growth left to do and I'm constantly revising my strategies every season.  The key to winning is to stay ahead of everyone else.  I do that the pretty well so far and I don't succumb to the pressures of the industry.  I'm very raw in that sense.


Mailbag: What To Do About Rickie Weeks?

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Any suggestions for how to replace Rickie Weeks? It's a 12 team league with an MI spot, so needless to say, the 2B and SS options on the wire are pretty Weeks.

 

I see what you did there at the end.  It's funny because his name is descriptive of the situation.  I get jokes.

 

Losing Weeks is a tough blow, but you should be able to survive it, especially since it sounds like you had him slotted into your middle infielder slot.  Playing in a league that uses a MI position is a mixed blessing in these situations.  It does thin out the overall player pool, but it also gives you much more flexibility when targeting a replacement.

 

I'm assuming you are exploring all your trade options and like all owners who lose a guy for the year, you're hairline deep in low-ball offers.  If it's clear you have excess in another category, you should move it to balance to fill your new hole, but only after you negotiate past all the insulting Scutaro-for-Santana type proposed deals and you check-in with Alexei Ramirez's owner to find out just how disgusted he is with the White Sox alleged budding star (you never know, it's possible you could get him with a low-ball offer of your own).  You might even have a power surplus, since you got a surprising number of bombs out of Weeks before his injury (though there was no chance he was going to keep it up and hit 30 plus on the season.  And since there is absolutely no way we'll ever know if that's true, I stand by it 100%). 

 

Assuming you can't make a trade, I'd look at the following guys who are available in many 12-team leagues.

 

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Akinori Iwamura - He's a career .282 hitter and is batting over .300 so far this year.  He's also stole 8 bases this year as the Rays continue to be extremely aggressive on the basepaths.  He replaces Weeks speed in your lineup and doesn't hurt you anywhere but in homers.  He also has a sweet name which makes him sound like a villain in "Heroes."  You could do worse.

 

Christian Guzman - How a guy hitting .377 at the top of the lineup for a team that scores over five runs a game can be owned in fewer than half of all leagues is a mystery to me.  He won't contribute much to your power numbers, but he'll give you A+++ production in batting average and runs.  At MI, I'd rather have a guy who puts up huge numbers in two categories than a player who puts up slightly better than mediocre numbers in all five.

 

Alberto Callaspo - Another guy who isn't getting enough pub.  He's been trending upwards over the last several seasons and is now batting .338 with 16 ribbies and runs scored.  He's batting second in the Royals lineup, and while his RBI pace may slow down a little, he's still going to provide similar overall value to a dozen guys who have much higher ownership numbers.

 

If all those players are owned, send me an email and we can try to come up with another approach.  Thanks for reading.

Rain Delay - Another Roundtable

Once again real life is interfering with my fantasy life, so the Mailbag will not run until tomorrow.  But to hold you over, here is the roundtable discussion from this week where myself and eight guys who actually know what they are doing give advice on this season's unlikely power hitters.

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090520&content_id=4833260&vkey=fantasy&fext=.jsp&c_id=mlb

Thanks for reading, I'll be back tomorrow.

Marry, Bury, Date: Week 7

Welcome back to another week of Marry, Bury, Date -- the childhood game I've hijacked to provide the framework for my initial foray into providing expert fantasy baseball advice.

 

The premise of the game is simple.  Three names are thrown out and the participants must pick which one they would Marry (ie commit to long-term), Bury (get rid of forever), or Date (could be fun in the short-term).  When considering trade offers or waiver wire pick-ups, fantasy players are faced with these same three decisions all the time, so in an effort to help aid these choices, I'll name one player who I like for the rest of the season, one player who I think could help in the short-term, and one guy I wouldn't touch in this space each week.

 

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After I'm done, if you want to whisper to the player that I "like 'em, like 'em" that's up to you.  If you do, I look forward to the awkwardness that ensues all the way through the Junior High Prom.  Maybe I'll get my courage up and ask them to dance during All-4-One's "I Swear."

 

This week's picks are below.


Expert League Update: When Things Go Wrong in H2H Leagues

Another week, another win for my merry band of miscreants in the Fantasy Baseball Search Expert League.  This time, I caught starting pitching guru Evan Dickens on an off week and swept all five pitching categories on my way to a 7-3 victory.  The win puts me back in first place in my division as we reach the quarter point of the season, thus setting me up for a devastating collapse later on.  Pride cometh before the fall indeed.

 

But my stellar performance in the league isn't what I want to talk about today (and it's almost certainly not what you want to read).  Instead, let's discuss the most annoying things that can occur during a head-to-head matchup.

 

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The H2H format magnifies every little event during the course of the baseball season.  A play that's barely noteworthy or ignored completely under a roto format can cause a fantasy manager to have a Kiefer Sutherland level meltdown in a H2H league (the recent head-butt story is just further proof that there is a Vonnegutesque blending of fact and fiction going on here.  Jack Bauer is coming to life.  Christmas trees and terrorists, beware). 

 

It's because the impact of a misstep is felt immediately and can't be made up for over the course of the full schedule.  It's also because players who prefer the H2H format tend to be action junkies and far less rational than their roto-playing counterparts (I have absolutely no proof of this, but like any good lawyer, I'll stick to it til I die).

 

So here is one H2H player's countdown of the five most annoying things that can happen during the course of a week.  I find that the more unlikely the event, the angrier I get, so the list is ordered accordingly.  I'm sure I'm missing something, so a more expansive version may be coming in the future, but here is what I've got for now.


Fantasy Baseball Expert Interview: Jon Williams

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Welcome back to the newest installment in our series of interviews aimed at giving readers insight into the minds and backgrounds of those fantasy writers and pundits who have reached the level of "expert." It seems there has been an explosion in the number of people claiming the title in the last few years, but no one seems to know where they come from. These interviews aim to change all that, while also giving aspiring "experts" (such as myself) some advice on both how to break into the industry and ways to improve your fantasy skills.


Our guest this week is Jon Williams, the founder of Advanced Fantasy Baseball.

 

In your opinion, what makes you a fantasy expert? (basically the polite way of asking - why should people listen to you?)

I suppose a lot of people think that winning championships qualify you but I would disagree. People should listen to me because I make decisions and endorse players based on the evidence rather than hunches and following the crowd. In fact I love when the crowd disagrees with me.

Mailbag: Can Real Beauty Equal Fantasy Beauty?

Toby, it seems like every year some girlfriend of a friend ends up in the money in my March Madness Pool when she picked her teams solely by how attractive their players are. How do you think I would do in fantasy baseball if I simply drafted the best looking guy for each available roster slot? I'm fairly confident you have not put together a player hotness ranking, but some enterprising young girl has here.  Thoughts?

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Excellent question.  Let's begin with the list you provided.  That enterprising young girl is now a middle-aged woman, as this list is from at least 10 years ago.  The domain was a dead giveaway, as Geocities is like the slap bracelets of the internet world -- All the rage back in the day but irrelevant now (PS - I definitely had a slap bracelet in elementary school.  Bendable magnets wrapped in neon fabric?  Who could resist?).  And if you couldn't figure it out from the web address, J.T. Snow is the first baseman and Manny is listed as playing for the Indians.  So it's a bit dated.

 

Luckily for you, I'm very secure in my masculinity.  So after making absolutely, positively certain no one could see what I was doing, I hit up Google to try to find current ballplayers that are swoonie.  If any of you out there go back to check my work, I implore you to make sure safe search is turned on.  I cannot stress this enough.  Some things you can't unsee.

 

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After about an hour of running searches that are certain to lead to some interesting email offers, I was able to compile a pretty decent list.  To my surprise, there are plenty of message board posts dedicated to this very subject and the hard-hitting journalists over at Cosmo filed an excellent expose blowing the lid off the whole topic. 

 

Now that I've gathered the player pool, I can consider your question.  The whole notion that some secretary can win an office pool based on crazy criteria such as hotness of players, cuddliness of mascot, or closeness of the school to Mecca is a bit misguided.  What really happens is they end up picking favorites early and then maybe an upset or two later for some wacky reason that happens to work out.  When asked why they picked it, they end up spouting off some crazy talk and everyone thinks she was nuts all along.  The truth is they mixed a lot of chalk with a little luck.

 

So, to answer your question, I think you could draft a very competitive team filled with nothing but attractive players as long as you picked them at their proper value.  To illustrate, I went back and cross-referenced the list of attractive players I compiled with their average draft positions (I know, I know, I'm a loser, I get it) and came up with the following core team that would cause both hardcore fantasy players and teenage girls hearts to flutter.

Rain Delay

Sorry everyone, some real world matters have come up and interfered with this here fantasy world, so no mailbag today.  I'll be back tomorrow.  In the meantime, check out the link below where eight guys who know what they are talking about and yours truly discuss what to do with Manny.

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/fantasy/article.jsp?ymd=20090513&content_id=4705612&vkey=fantasy&fext=.jsp

Marry, Bury, Date: Week 6

Welcome back to another week of Marry, Bury, Date -- the childhood game I've hijacked to provide the framework for my initial foray into providing expert fantasy baseball advice.

 

The premise of the game is simple.  Three names are thrown out and the participants must pick which one they would Marry (ie commit to long-term), Bury (get rid of forever), or Date (could be fun in the short-term).  When considering trade offers or waiver wire pick-ups, fantasy players are faced with these same three decisions all the time, so in an effort to help aid these choices, I'll name one player who I like for the rest of the season, one player who I think could help in the short-term, and one guy I wouldn't touch in this space each week.

 

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After I'm done, if you want to whisper to the player that I "like 'em, like 'em" that's up to you.  If you do, I look forward to the awkwardness that ensues all the way through the Junior High Prom.  Maybe I'll get my courage up and ask them to dance during James Blunt's "You're Beautiful."

 

This week's picks are below.


Expert League Update: Unbelievable Beatdown

When I interviewed The Fantasy Man last week, he described our match-up as "on like Donkey Kong."  His prediction turned out to be entirely true.  Unfortunately for me, he was the 800 pound gorilla and I was nothing but the barrels.

 

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After a month long stretch of dominance, I received my first true whooping in an expert league.  The Fantasy Man beat me 7-2-1, vaulting over my team into first place in the process.  I've got no excuses.  My team put up decent numbers, but in a league this competitive "decent" doesn't get it done.  It's like seeing a prospect that has a "decent" fastball tear through the minors, but when he receives his call up to the show, his first heater inevitably disappears into the night faster than Rorschach.  Big league hitters make their living off of "decent."

 

It's a healthy reality check as I was starting to get a little pompous.  My initial success led me to believe that the rest of the season would be easy and that my powerful sharkelephant offense would just continue to trample and eat everything in its path.  I'm sure it's how EMF felt in 1990 when "Unbelievable" hit number one on the charts and they felt they'd dominate the music scene for the next decade.  That didn't, as they say, "work out" for them.  Hopefully, I won't due something as dumb as featuring Mark David Chapman (the guy who shot Lennon) on an album released by a British band and I'll right the ship this week.

 

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(By the way, this actually happened.  Even Homer's barbershop quartet declaring they were bigger than Jesus wasn't as big a musical misstep.  It would be like Soulja Boy following up "Crank Dat" with a new track featuring James Earl Ray and then wondering why his career disappeared.  I have to assume the thought of including Chapman on the record is what inspired them to write "Unbelievable".  And yes, this is the most ink ever spilled on EMF by a fantasy baseball writer.  And yes, that is a challenge).

Fantasy Baseball Expert Interview: Evan Dickens

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Welcome back to the newest installment in our series of interviews aimed at giving readers insight into the minds and backgrounds of those fantasy writers and pundits who have reached the level of "expert." It seems there has been an explosion in the number of people claiming the title in the last few years, but no one seems to know where they come from. These interviews aim to change all that, while also giving aspiring "experts" (such as myself) some advice on both how to break into the industry and ways to improve your fantasy skills.


Our guest this week is Evan Dickens, a writer for the expert league's host site, Fantasy Baseball Search, and one of the co-hosts of the Fantasy Baseball Tonight podcast.

 

In your opinion, what makes you a fantasy expert?
 
I believe in, as Cory Schwartz would say, "showing my work." I will (almost) never give a fantasy opinion unless I can provide some statistical support for my position. At the same time, I believe in actually watching baseball as the best way to evaluate the starting pitchers I recommend.


Expert League Update: Ask And Ye Shall Receive

A few days ago, I foolishly wrote that I was looking forward to when my team cooled down so I could stop worrying about when it would happen.  The fantasy gods, who always ignore my pleas to stop injuring my players or to keep my closers from appearing in "non-save" situations where their success rate is lower than your average comic book villain's, were suddenly all too eager to grant my request.

 

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For weeks now, my lineup has been fully raking, putting up massive numbers.  They've been like a shark riding an elephant, trouncing and eating everything they saw.  Then I had to open my big mouth and all of a sudden I'm getting swept in all hitting categories at the halfway point of this week's match up. 

 

If I was to rank who was to blame, I'd go with:

 

1.  me

2. - 73.  Adrian Beltre

74.  The Seattle batboy for continuing to hand Beltre a whiffle ball bat each time he's heading to the plate

75.  The Seattle police department for not realizing Beltre disappeared weeks ago under mysterious circumstances

76.  All Major League pitchers from 2004 who allowed Beltre to think he could hit every pitch out of the park thus causing him to swing so hard, you'd think he was auditioning for a Bugs Bunny cartoon

77.  me again, for drafting Adrian Beltre

 

At least I get my wish now and can watch the games this weekend without worrying about the imminent arrival of my team's inevitable decline.  They've come back to earth and now I get to root for them to pull it together and make a last second comeback, which is actually more fun than being on the other side.  I'm looking forward to it.




Mailbag: Help With Holds

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I missed the trade article, but you're right on the money with the insulting initial offer. I've now been offered multiple poopoo platters: JJ Putz for VMart (holds is a need of mine) and Juan Cruz+Rickie Weeks for Pedroia. I've countered the second guy with what I think is a pretty reasonable offer: Pedroia+Wandy Rodriquez for Santana+Marmol. Think it has a chance? He also has Ted Lilly, so if he counters with Lilly instead of Santana do I take it?

 

It would probably help to note that I have Alexei Ramirez ready to fill in at 2B, and it's a 6x6 league that counts Holds. I'm extremely deficient in Holds thus far (5, count em), and Marmol is obvi a stud in that category + will sneak in some Saves along the way.

 

All right, I'm already halfway to my word count!  Thanks guy.  I'm just kidding, this is actually the level of detail needed for an "expert" such as myself to have any chance of accuracy when answering a question (and even then, I'm throwing proverbial darts at a proverbial board that has a proverbial picture of Julian Tavarez as its proverbial bullseye).  Context is king when evaluating trades and quirks in league rules can make deals that seem even on their face lopsided in their results.

 

Speaking of quirks, holds is a ridiculous category.  In most leagues you are given a hold as long as the lead still remains when you exit the game.  So you can enter a game with a one run lead, walk the bases full, get booed lustily by a home crowd and still pick up a hold.  This is like the guy who orders the first round of drinks, thus earning him "great guy" status among the group but then proceeds to order two lobsters and a condor egg omelet for dinner because he knows someone else is picking up the bill.  Still a great guy?  No sir.

 

I understand the argument to make middle relievers a factor in fantasy baseball since they are so important to real-life teams (if you have any doubt, please look at this list of ERA's for the Nats bullpen and then look at their record), but counting holds is fitting a round peg in a triangular hole and it can make a left-handed relief specialist more valuable than guys who hit .300 or 30 bombs.  It's as if "pancake blocks" became a category in fantasy football and linemen became more important than wide receivers.  Sure, it may be a more accurate reflection of their relative value in real football, but doesn't it take a lot of the fun out of fantasy?

 

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Anyways, sorry for the tangent, but to be fair, it's what I do.  My writing is not very focused.  If it was a weapon in "Contra" it would be the Spread, not the Laser.

 

Let's finally get to your question.  In my experience, guys who make insulting first offers don't ever accept your counter-proposal no matter how reasonable it is.  They typically only want to make a deal if it's completely one-sided.  If he doesn't back off entirely, he's likely going to give you a new offer that is only slightly less insulting (instead of flipping you the bird, this time he'll just grab his crotch).  So based on that, I don't think he'll accept your offer.

 

As for the offer itself, I think it's very fair and I would do it if I had your specific need at holds.  Both Pedroia for Santana and Wandy for Marmol offer roughly equivalent value and seemingly would fill needs for both teams.  If he switches to Lilly, I probably would pass.  Then you are talking about it being Pedroia for Lilly and I've got to think you could do better than that if you are shopping the reigning AL MVP.  Also, I think Wandy and Lilly end up with similar value at the end of the year, in which case, you'd be trading Pedroia for Marmol.  Yikes.

 

Another course of action might be to just shop Wandy for a guy who gets holds in a straight-up trade.  You should send feelers to the owners of guys like Okajima, Wheeler, Putz (see if he'll be more reasonable than VMart), McClellan, and Madson to see what it would take to get them before you accept anything resembling a desperation trade.  Or try to buy-low on Scot Shields, who has started slow after leading the league in holds last year.  After Holiday went yard on him last night, you might find a fed up owner who is willing to deal.

 

Hope this helps.  If you have any follow-up questions or want more advice as your negotiations carry on, let me know and I'll be happy to help.

Marry, Bury, Date: Week 5

Welcome back to another week of Marry, Bury, Date -- the childhood game I've hijacked to provide the framework for my initial foray into providing expert fantasy baseball advice.

 

prom5.jpg

The premise of the game is simple.  Three names are thrown out and the participants must pick which one they would Marry (ie commit to long-term), Bury (get rid of forever), or Date (could be fun in the short-term).  When considering trade offers or waiver wire pick-ups, fantasy players are faced with these same three decisions all the time, so in an effort to help aid these choices, I'll name one player who I like for the rest of the season, one player who I think could help in the short-term, and one guy I wouldn't touch in this space each week.

 

After I'm done, if you want to whisper to the player that I "like 'em, like 'em" that's up to you.  If you do, I look forward to the awkwardness that ensues all the way through the Junior High Prom.  Maybe I'll get my courage up and ask them to dance during Boyz II Men's "Hard To Say Goodbye."

 

This week's picks are below.


Expert League Update: First Place

After the final pitch was thrown last night and I had secured a 7-2-1 victory for the week, I noticed something peculiar -- I have the best record in the league. 

 

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It's officially the latest in a season I've held first place in a fantasy baseball league, beating the old record by infinity.  At no point last season was my name at the top of the standings and I didn't expect to break that streak in my first expert league this season.  Given the quality of my opponents, I figured to spend most of my season in front of my TV in the Willem Dafoe in "Platoon" position:  On my knees, arms lifted to the sky, sucking wind and left for dead, wondering how everything went so wrong.

 

Instead, I'm stumbling around with the same look Jerry had in the Even Steven episode of "Seinfeld."  No matter what I do, things seem to work out for me in the end, so I'm just sitting back and enjoying the ride.  The question is how long will it last?

 

My guess is another month or so, but not much longer than that.  There is no way my guys can keep up with their preposterously hot starts.  When I drafted Carlos Pena and Adrian Gonzalez, I was hoping to get 70 bombs between them.  At their current pace, they are going to be in that neighborhood by the All-Star break.  Raul Ibanez is putting up huge numbers, turning back the clock at the age of 36 (and it's not even his clock, he looks more like Ted Williams right now than himself).  And Ian Kinsler has played well enough that my girlfriend is starting to get (rightfully) jeolous over how much I swoon for him.

 

Eventually these guys have to cool down and my team will level off accordingly.  I actually look forward to it in a weird way, as I'll be able to enjoy the game more when I'm not constantly waiting for the other shoe to drop.  I mean, I don't want to end up like Randy Quaid in "Major League 2", rooting against my own team and saying things like "so what, they'll blow it in the playoffs" when I should be celebrating, but that's kind of how I feel right now.  Or maybe I'm just saying that so the Fantasy gods won't smote me (not the worst idea).  But either way, all writers are more fun to read when they have something to complain about, so if my team continues to boom, look for me to start making up fake feuds and starting nonsense arguments soon (WHIP: Friend or Foe?  Tune in next to find out.)  Should be fun.

Fantasy Baseball Expert Interview: Mike Kuchera

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Welcome back to the newest installment in our series of interviews aimed at giving readers insight into the minds and backgrounds of those fantasy writers and pundits who have reached the level of "expert." It seems there has been an explosion in the number of people claiming the title in the last few years, but no one seems to know where they come from. These interviews aim to change all that, while also giving aspiring "experts" (such as myself) some advice on both how to break into the industry and ways to improve your fantasy skills.

Our guest this week is Mike Kuchera, podcast pioneer and founder of The Fantasy Man.

 

In your opinion, what makes you a fantasy expert? (basically the polite way of asking - why should people listen to you?) 

I'm just a guy that loves fantasy sports. Its not like I have a Bachelor's degree in Fantasy Sports or a minor in Stat-o-nomics. No such thing. I was one of the first to put myself out there on the Internet as someone who was knowledgeable and someone who could help beginners and even some experienced players win their leagues. From that, people started to recognize me as an expert. I did not give myself that title. When I started, I just wanted to be the first guy to offer free advice and talk about fantasy sports, and it just grew from there.